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  • Writer's pictureJake Friedman (@THEJakeFriedman)

Waste Management Phoenix Open DFS & Outright Betting Guide

By: Jake Friedman



Introduction


The PGA Tour heads over to Phoenix, Arizona for the Waste Management Phoenix Open. This is one of the most fun tournaments of the year. The crowd gets rowdy and the players get into it. Scottie Scheffler is the 2x defending champion and even though the field is starting to dwindle, it should still be a great event with 4 rounds of golf (subtle shot at last weeks 54 hole tournament).


As always, please refer to Nate's article for a very in-depth breakdown of the tournament's field, course, and more!


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DFS Guide

10k Range

Scottie Scheffler ($11,600) - 2x defending champion at the WM Phoenix Open, Scheffler is going to be the most popular play in DFS this week. Sometimes you need to ignore the ownership and play the guy you know is going to show up and score you DFS points. We all know Scottie is a tee to green monster and that his week will come down to the putter. If he can get remotely competent with the putter he will win his 3rd Waste Management Phoenix Open in a row.


9k Range

Sam Burns ($9,600) - Burns has got the putter rolling HOT these past 2 weeks (gaining 2.04 strokes per round at the American Express and 1.81 per round last week at Pebble Beach) and I'm looking to him to continue that this week. Burns is above average in 4 of the 5 main categories I look at (distance off the tee, accuracy off the tee, approach, around the green, and putting). Driving accuracy is where he is below average but I'm not all too concerned about that. Finishing T-6 at this tournament last year and finishing T-6 at the American Express and 10th last week at Pebble Beach, I'm looking for Burns to keep his run of form up.


Sahith Theegala ($9,100) - I know Sahith is on my betting card and/or in my DFS lineups every week, but I feel particularly good about him this week at the Waste Management Phoenix Open. I believe Theegala is going to be one of the most motivated golfers to win this week. He came in 3rd here in 2022 where he should've won and last year in 2023 he finished T-39. Coming off a T-20 last week at Pebble Beach where he gained just over 1.5 strokes per round with the flat stick, I think Sahith wins this week. He's above average in 4 of the 5 categories I consider with driving accuracy being the one he is below average in. I'll be including Sahith in both my DFS lineups and outright betting card.


8k Range

Byeong Hun An ($8,800) - Ben An is having an incredible start to the 2024 season and I don't see why that wouldn't continue here at the Waste Management Phoenix Open. He's started the season with a 4th at The Sentry, T-2 at the Sony Open, and T-31 at Pebble Beach. Similar profile to the previous people I've written up, he's above average in 4 of the 5 statistical categories I look at with driving accuracy below the average. His tournament history here is solid with 4 top 25 finishes out of 5 appearances. I'd expect Ben An to stay hot and have a nice finish here this week.


Adam Hadwin ($8,000) - A bit of a mixed start for Hadwin, I'm hoping I can get him at a discounted ownership this week. Hadwin is above average in 4 of the 5 categories I look at with driving distance being below average. His course history and his recent form and similar where there's some top finishes and also some really bad finishes. In DFS you need to take some calculated risks and I'd consider Hadwin one of those for me this week. He finished T-10 at this tournament last year and has 2 top 15 finishes in the start of his 2024 campaign.


7k Range

Si Woo Kim ($7,900) - This seems like a very disrespectful price on what I consider a very good golfer. Si Woo has had a very solid start to the year with 3 top 25 finishes out of 4 starts. He is well above average in driving accuracy, approach and around the green. His week will come down to the putter which I'm willing to take the risk on. He's played here numerous times and over the past 3 years he's improved his finishing position each year. I'm looking for a T-20 finish from Si Woo this week.


Mark Hubbard ($7,400) - Although I believe he's going to garner a decent amount of ownership, I'm going to turn to Hubbard here at a cheap price to fill in my lineups. 3 weeks ago at the Farmers Insurance Open he gained just under 3 strokes per round on approach and last week at Pebble Beach he gained just over 2.5 strokes per round with the flat stick. If Hubbard can find a way to marry those 2 this week I love him as a long shot to win. His course history is nothing to write home about although he has a top 10 finish back in 2020. Hubbard is above average in 4 of the 5 categories I consider with driving distance coming in below average. If he can keep his current run of form I like him to score big this week in DFS.


6k Range

K.H. Lee ($6,900) - Nicknamed TPC Lee, there's something about the TPC courses that just fits Lee's eye. Although his recent form isn't anything to write home about, he's made the cut in 3 of his 4 appearances at this tournament including a T-2 back in 2021. He's a pretty well rounded golfer when it comes to the 5 categories I look at. I'm just looking for him to make the cut at this price point and anything else on top is a bonus.


J.J. Spaun ($6,700) - It's been a brutal start to the year for Spaun but he made the cut last week at Pebble Beach and I'm looking to him this week to build off of that. Spaun is above average in driving accuracy, approach, and around the green. He gained over a stroke per round last week with the flat stick which is a good sign that some form might be on the horizon. At this price point I don't think you can go wrong taking a chance on Spaun.


Outright Betting Card

Scottie Scheffler +550 to win 0.5U

Min Woo Lee +4000 to win 1U

Sahith Theegala +5000 to win 1U Akshay Bhatia +7000 to win 1U

Harris English +11000 to win 1U

Tom Hoge +12500 to win 1U


Best of luck this week in all your action and please remember to bet responsibly!

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