By: Jake Friedman
Introduction
After weeks of weaker field events, we finally head over to the Bahamas for a star studded Hero World Challenge event hosted by none other than Tiger Woods.
Please refer to Nate's articles for a very in-depth breakdown of the tournament's field, course and more!
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Hero World Challenge
Tiger Woods will be hosting 20 of the top talents on the PGA Tour for this weeks Hero World Challenge in Albany, New Providence, Bahamas. Although this is a very small field, we are seeing some of the best tee it up this week. Let's get right into the betting card and break down my plays for the week.
Outright Betting Card
Max Homa (+850) - One of my favorite golfers who I couldn't get away from this week is Homa. He is a phenominal golfer who, in my eyes, is course proof. He hits the ball long and accurately off the tee, can get dialed in with the irons, has a good short game, and is one of the best putters on tour. In his 2 starts this fall swing Homa has a T-7 at the Fortinet and a win at the Nedbank. He started last season off hot and I believe Homa is about to do the same this season.
Justin Thomas (+1600) - Let's take last year and just throw it in the garbage. It was a season to forget full of frustration and missed cuts for Justin Thomas. He ended the season giving it his all to make the top 50 but just fell short after a T-12 at the Whydham. He made 2 appearences this swing season and placed 5th at the Fortinet and 4th at the Nedbank. In both those appearences, Thomas gained on approach, around the green and surprisingly with the flat stick. It seems as if Thomas is getting back to his old ways gaining on approach and maybe even added on something with the putter. I think Thomas will be more motivated than others to redeem himself from last season and find that winning form again.
Will Zalatoris (+3500) - It will be come very well known on this page that Zalatoris is one of my favorite golfers on tour. Let's address the elephant in the room and note that Zalatoris missed the entirety of last year with a back injury. It is a risky position to bet him to win in his first tournament back but with the talent Zalatoris has it would not surprise me one bit. It's also helpful that this is a 20 man field which means he only needs to beat 19 other golfers. If this were normal circumstances, I would project Zalatoris to be in the +1200 to +2000 odds range depending on how the season went and his lead up form. At +3500 you are getting a great driver of the golf ball and an elite iron and approach player. I'm hoping Zalatoris spent some time in the lab with the putter while he was rehabbing and found something that clicked. This could be a bet I look back on and and just laugh at, but I've convinced myself that there's too much value in the odds here for Zalatoris.
As always, good luck in all your action this week and please remember to bet responsibly!
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